A brief guide to the NFL best bets
NFL betting varies slightly from most other sports. Typically, the three most common types of NFL best bets are:
Moneylines – The simplest way to make an NFL prediction and a market that will be familiar to anyone who has placed a sports bet before. All you do is place a bet on who will win the game.
Point spreads – Most NFL games have favourites, but point spreads level the playing field for gamblers. This market gives the underdog a points advantage that negates the favourites perceived superiority. As such, the odds on both outcomes are virtually even.
Totals – These markets give you a total for an event in the game and you have to bet on whether the outcome will be over or under that total. The most popular NFL picks for total markets include total points in the game, total yards by each team’s quarterback and total receiving yards by a specific receiver.
Betting picks NFL – Key considerations
The NFL is a highly unpredictable league. Upsets happen every week and pre season favourites rarely make it to the SuperBowl. That being said, there are a few key considerations you can make in order to give you the best chance of making winning NFL predictions:
Look at the venue – We all know that home advantage is important in most sports, but in the NFL there’s more to it than just having your fans behind you. Some teams benefit from extreme weather conditions – a trip to the frozen tundra of Green Bay is a far less appealing prospect than a gameday in Miami!
Assess the schedule – The NFL is a physically demanding league. It takes time to recover after games, there is often a lot of travel involved and it takes time for coaches to formulate gameplans. Franchises coming into games off ‘short weeks’ tend to struggle compared to teams who have had seven or more days to prepare or are coming off a bye week.
Don’t just rely on the form book – Yes, a team that’s 7-0 is probably playing very well. But there’s often more to it than just looking at recent results. You might be tempted to bet on a team who won their previous game convincingly, The reality might be that their opponents suffered through injuries, bad luck, bad decisions and/or other factors. It’s always wise to look at the context behind results.
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Why trust our NFL picks?
There are a lot of different places to go for NFL picks, it can be very hard to find the most reliable and best betting picks. NFL predictions at Wetten come from a team of expert tipsters. Each week they bring you the best bets in the NFL today, covering all of the popular markets and all of the major games.
Our aim is to break down the games, analyse the statistics and give you the NFL best bets. So whether you want to make NFL predictions for a specific match or find the best value NFL picks for the SuperBowl, Wetten has got you covered.
To be an expert NFL tipster, you need to do a lot of research and have a vast knowledge of the game. Our tipsters tick both of these boxes, putting them in a great position to give you the very best NFL picks. Here are some of the key statistics our tipsters use to make NFL predictions:
Third down efficiency – The most important down in football. A team’s third down efficiency is a great indicator of how well they are playing. Fail to convert on third down and you (in most cases) concede position and miss out a points scoring opportunity.
Points per game (PPG) – This looks at a team’s performance over the entirety of the season to date. It gives a good indicator of the potency of an offensive. It is an especially useful statistic when looking at total points markets, as you can combine the PPGs of both teams.
Defensive statistics – All defences are different, so looking at isolated defensive statistics can be misleading. The Bengals might have the most sacks in the NFL, but if their interception, tackle and turnover statistics are poor, then it suggests that their defence is weak overall. The best tipsters look at all available defensive statistics to help formulate their NFL best bets.
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What should you think about before placing NFL picks?
You’ve done your research, you’ve read the expert NFL predictions and you’re ready to make your NFL picks for the week. The questions are – where should you bet? When should you bet? And what type of bet should you place?
When – There are two schools of thought on this. The first is that you can find the best bets in the NFL by placing them as soon as the markets are available. Whilst there is some truth in this, there is a large risk element in betting this early and a lot can change in the NFL.
The second option is to bet just before a game kicks off. At this point, the teams have been announced, you know the weather conditions and you will have read all of the pre match analysis. The problem is that whilst you are betting from a more knowledgeable place, the bookmakers also have this information and this will be reflected in the odds.
Where – You can bet on the NFL at hundreds of different sites. Maybe you’re only a member of one or two or maybe you’ve got accounts at a large selection of betting sites. You can really maximise your potential winnings by looking at multiple sites and finding the longest odds for your chosen bet.
What type of bet – Some people like to concentrate on a few specific markets (e.g. spreads), whilst other bettors prefer to have a broad look at all available markets and find the best odds. There’s no right or wrong approach, the important thing is that you have a strategy and stick to it.
Top 5 tips for finding your favorite bookie for NFL picks
With so many betting sites available, it can be hard to find the best operator to use. Here are five expert tips on how to choose where to place your NFL picks:
- Range of markets – Pretty much all sites will offer moneylines and spreads for NFL games. However, if you’re looking for a more niche market such as a certain player’s rushing yards or point per quarter, then you’ll find that you need to focus on a few specific sites.
- Read the reviews – Websites like Wetten carry reviews of all major bookmakers. It is worth reading up on a site before joining it. Not only will you get an idea of their reliability and customer service,but you’ll also be able to find out what NFL markets they offer.
- Functionality – Some betting sites are much easier to navigate than others and some have better mobile versions than others. Being able to place bets in an easy and hassle free way is hugely important – getting it wrong can cost you a lot of money.
- Bonus offers – Promotions aren’t everything and always make sure you read the small print before signing up, but bonus offers can be deal clinchers when it comes to deciding where to bet.
- Odds – Of course, the most important factor to consider is how much money you can win. Whilst odds are usually pretty similar across all betting sites, sometimes you can find differences that will help you win money.
Our Top 5 tips for wagering your NFL bonuses
If you do have a bonus to use on NFL predictions, then it’s important that you make the most of it. Here are five top tips for maximising the value of your NFL bonuses and free bets:
- Read the terms and conditions – Your $10 free bet for the Detroit Lions v Cleveland Browns game, might come with certain restrictions. These restrictions often relate to the minimum odds required for the bet or the wagering requirements involved.
- Play it safe – It can be tempting to view an NFL bonus as a free hit and put the money ona long odds bet. It’s true that you wouldn’t lose any money from that approach, but it’s extremely unlikely that you’re going to win any money. A better approach is to use your bonus on short odds NFL picks.
- Moneylines – Markets with limited outcomes are a good way of using bonuses as they come with a high strike rate. Given that ties happen about once a season in the NFL, moneylines are effectively two option markets.
- Double up – Sometimes you might have multiple free bets to use. You can guarantee yourself a profit by covering every option. Let’s say you’ve got two NFL free bets at different sites. If you place the bet on different winners of the same game, then you are guaranteed to win with one of the bets.
- Treat it like a normal bet – Yes it’s a bonus, but you still don’t want to lose. Do your research, read the experts’ betting picks, NFL predictions and bet with your head not your heart.
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Betting tips: NFL vocabulary
NFL betting comes with an array of terminology. Knowing what it all means can really help you when it comes to finding the NFL best bets. Here’s a short guide to some of the key terms.
- Against the spread (ATS) – This indicates how an NFL performs versus their betting spread. For example, if the Miami Dolphins have a 3-1 ATS record it means that they’ve beaten the spread in three of their previous games, but failed to do so in one.
- Chalk – To bet on the favourite in a market. For example, Patrick Mahomes is the chalk bet for NFL MVP.
- Dog – A shortened version of underdog. Regular used by tipsters to indicate the second favourite in an NFL matchup.
- Fade – Often used by tipsters. Fading a team means to bet against them because of circumstances. For instance, if the Buffalo Bills suffer a few injuries before a big game, tipsters may be inclined to fade them.
- Futures – A bet placed on a long term event, such as the outcome of a season. Before Week one, you can place futures bets on the winner of the SuperBowl.
- Hedge – You can mitigate your potential losses by hedging your bet. If you’ve bet on the Seattle Seahawks to win, but they’re losing badly at half time, you recoup your loss slightly by hedging your bet and placing a second wager on them losing.
- Parlay – A general term for any multi market bet such as doubles, trebles or accumulators. Parlay bets are riskier than standard bets, but they do come with bigger rewards.
NFL best bets: Conclusion
And that’s all you need to know about how to find the best NFL predictions and betting picks. NFL betting is a vast topic and it’s not easy to find the best NFL picks, but Wetten is designed to make life easy for you and to help you make money from your NFL predictions.
So whether you’re looking to place a big money bet on the next SuperBowl winner or a small wager on who will be the leading rusher in the first game of the season, make sure you read the expert tips at Wetten. You won’t be disappointed.
NFL Predictions FAQ
👀 What is the best strategy for NFL predictions?
Information is king when it comes to betting picks. NFL betting requires a lot of research and analysis. Make sure you read all of the NFL betting tips at Wetten before making your NFL picks.
👍 Are parlay picks allowed in the NFL
Yes, this is a popular way of betting on the NFL. Parlay bets are riskier and more complicated than single game bets, so it is advised to read expert NFL betting tips before placing them.
💪 Is betting on the NFL legal?
Yes, NFL betting is legal in a number of NFL states. Make sure you check the reviews on Wetten to find out which sites are available for NFL picks in your state.
🙏 Where’s the best place to make NFL picks?
If you’re looking for NFL best bets, you need to visit a number of sites to weight up the odds and available markets. Wetten can help you out with this, thanks to our expert tipsters and guides to the best bets in the NFL today.
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